مقایسه‌ی احتمال خطر تخریب سرزمین با مدل پیشنهادی RALDE2 در دو شهرستان استان خوزستان با شرایط اقلیمی متفاوت

نوع مقاله : پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 گروه مهندسی منابع طبیعی و محیط زیست، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه شیراز، شیراز

2 بخش مهندسی منابع طبیعی و محیط زیست، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه شیراز

چکیده

پژوهش حاضر با هدف دست‌یابی به مدل جدید تهیه شد. این مدل شاخص‌‌‌های مختلفی را از جنبه‌‌‌ها یا معیارهای تخریب ‌‌‌سرزمین و بیابان‌‌‌زایی، یعنی عوامل طبیعی، انسانی و روند تخریب برای یافتن منطقه‌‌ای با خطر بالاتر تخریب و اندازه‌‌‌گیری احتمال وقوع شرایط تخریب بدتر در این مناطق درنظرمی‌گیرد. برای ارزیابی خطر تخریب سرزمین، دو منطقه‌ در شهرستان‌های مسجدسلیمان و امیدیه در شمال‌شرقی و جنوب‌شرقی استان خوزستان انتخاب شدند. دلیل انتخاب این دو منطقه تفاوت در شرایط اقلیمی‌شان بود. نقشه‌ی نهایی خطر تخریب سرزمین با تلفیق هر سه نوع لایه‌های‌ طبیعی و انسانی و روند تخریب، در مقایسه با وضعیت کنونی تخریب در نرم‌‌‌افزار جی‌آی‌اس تهیه شد. برای نشان دادن تصویر آماری دقیق‌‌‌تری از خطر تخریب در آینده، مناطق درمعرض‌خطر به زیرگروه‌هایی با احتمال‌های مختلف خطر‌ طبقه‌‌‌بندی شدند. درصد احتمال خطر با درنظرگرفتن عوامل توان و روند تخریب سرزمین، و با تأکید بر عامل روند بررسی و مدل ارزیابی خطر تخریب سرزمین  (RALDE)معرفی شد. نتایج مقایسه‌ی وضعیت خطر تخریب عوامل بررسی‌شده در دو منطقه براساس میانگین وزنی خطر نشان دادند که وضعیت خطر تخریب عوامل انسانی، طبیعی، روند و وضعیت فعلی و درنهایت خطر تخریب سرزمین در منطقه‌ی امیدیه (همه‌ی عوامل با میانگین وزنی بیش‌تر از 5/2) با شرایط اقلیمی گرم و خشک، از مسجدسلیمان (فقط عوامل طبیعی و وضعیت فعلی با میانگین وزنی بیش‌تر از 5/2) با آب‌وهوای مرطوب‌تر، بیش‌تر و حادتر است. این پژوهش نشان داد که تخریب در منطقه‌ی گرم و خشک استان خوزستان بیشتر است.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

A Comparison of Land Degradation Risk Using the RALDE2 Proposed Model in Two Townships with Different Climates in the Khuzestan Province

نویسندگان [English]

  • Masoud Masoudi 1
  • Maryam Elhaei Sahar 2
1 Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Shiraz, Shiraz
2 Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Engineering, Shiraz University
چکیده [English]

The present research attempts to develop a new model. This model considers various indicators with different aspects or criteria of land degradation and desertification, namely natural and human, and trend of degradation for finding areas with higher rate of degradation, and measuring the probability of its occurrence of worse case in these areas. Two areas in the northeast (Masjed Soleiman) and southeast (Omidieh) of the Khuzestan Province were selected as the study areas. These two areas were selected because of their differences in the climatic conditions. The final land degradation risk map was produced by overlaying all three natural, human and trend of degradation types compared with the present state of degradation using the GIS software. Furthermore, the areas under risk were classified to subclasses with different levels of probability level to show a statistical picture of risk in the future. In this method the percentage of the risk probability is evaluated according to the trend and potential of degradation and the emphasis was on the trend of degradation against its potential. More over, the proposed model is named Risk Assessment of Land Degradation (RALDE). A comparison of risk assessment in both areas based on the weighted average indicates that the risk of degradation in the human, natural, trend, present state and finally in land degradation risk in the Omidieh zone (all factors with a weighted average of more than 2.5) with an arid and warm climate is more hazardous than that of the Masjed Soleiman zone (only two factors natural & current status with a weighted average more than 2.5) with a semi humid and moderate climate. This study indicated that the arid and warm climate of Khuzestan Province is more conducive to land degradation.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • GIS
  • human factors
  • Land degradation
  • natural factors
  • risk probability of hazard

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سابقه مقاله

  • تاریخ دریافت: 19 خرداد 1397
  • تاریخ بازنگری: 18 شهریور 1397
  • تاریخ پذیرش: 07 آبان 1397

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