امکان سنجی استفاده از روش‌های تصمیم‌گیری چندشاخصه جبرانی در اولویت‌بندی سناریوهای ‏مدیریتی حوزه آبخیز چهل‌چای استان گلستان‏

Decision-making in the Integrated Watershed Management is quite complex due to existence of various factors and indices there. To access a specific purpose, there are several solutions, each with a different priority to the different issues such as physical, ecological, socioeconomic, and political and security sectors. This requirement leads naturally to multi-criteria decision-making method, which aims to choose the best answer from among the possible solutions. The solution of decision-making problems so complex that the finding an acceptable solution is not easily possible. In particular, they often conflict with each other, so the increase of the value of one factor in priority could reduce the desirability of another one. Therefore, a special case study (the prioritizing of managerial scenarios for Chel-chai Watershed, Golestan Province) is performed to survey the differences in rate of response, due to changes in the types of compensatory multi-criteria decision-making techniques. In this study, four standards of physical, social, economic, and ecological indices, with two different weighting methods (quantitative and qualitative) are used. In order to prioritize management scenarios, some proposed techniques of TOPSIS, SAW, linear assignment, and VIKOR are utilized. Finally, in order to combine rankings, the techniques of Borda and Copeland are applied. According to the obtained results from all the methods proposed to prioritize scenarios, Scenario A (maintain status quo) is validated as the last priority in the list. However, the scenarios with having the garden is the first priority, and the scenarios with agroforestry and forestry activities are listed as end ones. According to the results, here gardening is an important activity, which needs special attention, and other activities are next priorities. Furthermore, we can say that the weights assigned to the criteria in prioritizing scenarios have a significant impact. There should be given careful consideration in calculating the importance weights. The results of the combined ranking of the proposed techniques using two different weighting methods are more compatible with the VIKOR method. Therefore, this method can serve as an appropriate technique to prioritize scenarios.